Will Evil Geniuses Academy win the Shopify Rebellion vs. Evil Geniuses Academy Valorant match?

Prediction markets currently give a 36% probability that Will Evil Geniuses Academy win the Shopify Rebellion vs. Evil Geniuses Academy Valorant match?. This contract trades at 36¢ on Kalshi, closing May 5, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 13¢ spread and theoretical 5594% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus.

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36¢
Bid/Ask 27/40¢·Spread 13¢·Vol $95.75·OI $231.11·Closes May 5, 2026·14d remaining
KXVALORANTGAME-26APR211900SREGA-EGA
7-day price51 snapshots · 2 regime
34¢33¢ current
Apr 185¢Apr 21

Analysis

44h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 13¢ spread and theoretical 5594% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus. The match was originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 but the market doesn't close until May 5, suggesting a potential postponement or rescheduling that may not be reflected in current pricing. With only 16 days to resolution and no recent price movement from the 29¢ level, this appears to be an inactive or abandoned market that should be approached with caution.

Resolution rules

If Evil Geniuses Academy wins the VCL North America: Stage 2 2026: Shopify Rebellion vs. Evil Geniuses Academy Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5248.7%
IY (No) 1273.3%
Adj IY 5249%
CRI 2
RV 7040%
VR 2.29
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5248.7%
IY (No)1273.3%
Adj IY5249%
CRI2
RV7040%
VR2.29
IAR1.2/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
13¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:46 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXVALORANTGAME-26APR211900SREGA-EGA yes 100

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