Will Germany GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.3%?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Germany GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.3%?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 88,694% implied yield unreliable indicators of true market sentiment.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 88,694% implied yield unreliable indicators of true market sentiment. The 8¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price, and with only 13 days until expiry and resolution imminent, the market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish a credible probability estimate. The recent price decline from 4¢ to 3¢ suggests minimal conviction, and the high cliff risk index (32) indicates potential for sharp moves as the resolution date approaches.
Resolution rules
If Germany GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 is above 0.3 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXDEGDPQOQF-26APR30-T0.3 yes 100