Will Lamar Odom attend Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026)?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Lamar Odom attend Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026)?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing April 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with zero 24-hour volume despite $668 open interest, suggesting thin order books and wide 7¢ spreads that may not reflect true consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with zero 24-hour volume despite $668 open interest, suggesting thin order books and wide 7¢ spreads that may not reflect true consensus. The price has crashed 43% over seven days (from 30¢ to 17¢), yet the implied yield on the Yes side remains absurdly high at 18,646%, indicating the market is pricing in either very low conviction or potential resolution ambiguity given the conference's original April 25 date has already passed. With only 10 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, this contract faces significant uncertainty around whether the rescheduled event will occur and whether Odom's attendance can be verified.
Resolution rules
If Lamar Odom attends Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
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sf trade KXTRUMPCRYPTOCONF-26-LODO yes 100