SimpleFunctions

Dignity Act · Will legislation

Dignity Act is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Will legislation.

Price history

23¢ current

+21¢
0¢25¢
May 21, 2026Jun 2, 2026

Contract brief

If legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dignity Act

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢

Range

5¢-76¢

Family volume

$884

Identifier

KXBILLS-DIGNITY

Jun 4, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 4, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

Reported volume

$625

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Will legislation

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$884

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 24¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
19¢1
17¢100
16¢200
3¢42
2¢433
AskSize
24¢1
25¢108
26¢200
91¢1.6K
92¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBILLS-DIGNITY

SF Signal
SF Index
368.96
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

737.9%

IY (No)

40.6%

Adj IY

369%

CRI

4

Overround

6.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

737.9%
40.6%
Adj IY
369%
4
Overround
6.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.