White House ballroom funding · Will legislation
White House ballroom funding is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
10¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
White House ballroom funding
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
College sports federalization 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$526
Identifier
KXBILLS-BALL
Sep 21, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$13K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$526
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-BALL
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$526
Outcomes
16
Highest price
College sports federalization 47¢
Current share
0%
College sports federalization
kalshi · KXBILLS-NIL
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
Export-control chip security
kalshi · KXBILLS-CHIP
Critical-minerals stockpile
kalshi · KXBILLS-MIN
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
Film/TV production expensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-TV
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Data center utility cost protection
kalshi · KXBILLS-DATA
ROTOR Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-ROTOR
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
SHOWER Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-SHOW
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
kalshi · KXBILLS-SMITH
SELF DRIVE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DRIVE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027
Will legislation that, upon becoming law, results in the Department of Homeland Security being funded at 12:01 AM ET the calendar day after enactment become law before May 15, 2026
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.