Railway safety bill · Will legislation
Railway safety bill is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
47¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If legislation that imposes comprehensive enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Railway safety bill
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢
Range
5¢-76¢
Family volume
$675
Identifier
KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Jun 6, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
65¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$600
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$675
Orderbook snapshot
65 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that imposes comprehensive enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$675
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢
Current share
0%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-HOUS
Railway safety bill
kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
kalshi · KXBILLS-EVFEE
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
Export-control chip security
kalshi · KXBILLS-CHIP
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
SELF DRIVE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DRIVE
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
Dignity Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DIGNITY
Data center utility cost protection
kalshi · KXBILLS-DATA
E15 year-round sales
kalshi · KXBILLS-E15
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
kalshi · KXBILLS-DJTB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.