SimpleFunctions

Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee · Will legislation

Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will legislation.

Price history

58¢ current

+1¢
50¢60¢
May 21, 2026Jun 5, 2026

Contract brief

If legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢

Range

5¢-76¢

Family volume

$675

Identifier

KXBILLS-EVFEE

Jun 6, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 6, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

Reported volume

$530

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · Will legislation

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$675

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 59¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢113
51¢100
50¢200
4¢2.3K
3¢44
AskSize
59¢100
60¢200
97¢2.5K
98¢46
99¢163

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBILLS-EVFEE

SF Signal
SF Index
76.73
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

168.0%

IY (No)

182.0%

Adj IY

77%

CRI

1

Overround

6.3%

LAS

0.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

168.0%
182.0%
Adj IY
77%
1
Overround
6.3%
LAS
0.16

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.