ROTOR Act · Will legislation
ROTOR Act is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
40¢ current
−30¢Contract brief
If legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
ROTOR Act
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Railway safety bill 65¢
Range
5¢-65¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXBILLS-ROTOR
Jun 7, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$10K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-ROTOR
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Railway safety bill 65¢
Current share
0%
Railway safety bill
kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
kalshi · KXBILLS-EVFEE
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
ROTOR Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-ROTOR
Export-control chip security
kalshi · KXBILLS-CHIP
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
SELF DRIVE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DRIVE
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
Dignity Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DIGNITY
Data center utility cost protection
kalshi · KXBILLS-DATA
E15 year-round sales
kalshi · KXBILLS-E15
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
kalshi · KXBILLS-DJTB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.