Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 30,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?

92¢mid
Bid/Ask 83/100¢·Spread 17¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·20d remaining
KXALBUMSALES-MID-PURE-30000
7-day price7 snapshots · 9 regime
83¢5¢Apr 8Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The massive 17¢ spread and astronomical implied yields (377% for Yes, 8988% for No) suggest minimal market participation and high uncertainty around whether Kacey Musgraves' "Middle of Nowhere" will achieve 30,000 pure album sales in its debut week. With only 20 days until expiry and a recent price surge from 76¢ to 83¢, this appears to be a nascent market with insufficient liquidity to trust current pricing, though the recent upward movement hints at growing belief in the Yes outcome.

Resolution rules

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 30,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 377.1%
IY (No) 8988.0%
Adj IY 4494%
CRI 5
Overround 4.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)377.1%
IY (No)8988.0%
Adj IY4494%
CRI5
Overround4.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
17¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 8:19:17 AM
Indicators computed 4/18/2026, 8:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSALES-MID-PURE-30000 yes 100

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