Will Norma Dumont Viana win the Dumont Viana vs Edwards professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 25, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 67% probability that Will Norma Dumont Viana win the Dumont Viana vs Edwards professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 25, 2026?. This contract trades at 67¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 2015% and a dramatic 7-day price surge from 2¢ to 65¢, suggesting significant new information arrived favoring Dumont Viana.
Analysis
This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 2015% and a dramatic 7-day price surge from 2¢ to 65¢, suggesting significant new information arrived favoring Dumont Viana. The 995.2% implied yield on Yes contracts appears artificially inflated due to the low entry price, while the No side's 3432.5% yield reflects the sharp repricing against Edwards backers. With only $2,315 in 24-hour volume and $2,003.87 open interest against a 20-day expiry window, liquidity is thin and the market may struggle to attract new participants before resolution, creating potential execution risk for larger positions.
Resolution rules
If Norma Dumont Viana wins the Dumont Viana vs Edwards professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUFCFIGHT-26APR25DUMEDW-DUM yes 100