Will Spain GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.6%?
Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Will Spain GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.6%?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 9¢ spread, suggesting no active trading and potentially stale pricing at 0¢.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 9¢ spread, suggesting no active trading and potentially stale pricing at 0¢. The astronomical implied yield of 6763.7% on the Yes side is a classic mispricing indicator—such yields are only theoretically possible in markets with virtually no liquidity or where prices have become completely disconnected from fundamentals. With only 13 days until expiry and resolution data (Spain's Q1 2026 flash GDP) likely imminent, this market appears abandoned and should be approached with extreme caution as a pricing signal.
Resolution rules
If Spain GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 is above 0.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXESGDPQOQF-26APR30-T0.6 yes 100