Will the corn close price be above $437.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3 in 24-hour volume and $128.6 open interest, making the 91¢ price potentially unreliable despite the 6¢ spread. The astronomical implied yield for "No" (16,059.7%) and realized volatility of 64,985% suggest severe mispricing or data anomalies, particularly given the neutral regime and modest 2.3 information arrivals per hour. The sharp 41¢ to 85¢ price movement over 7 days with 13 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 6 indicates high uncertainty near resolution, warranting extreme caution before trading at face value.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for corn on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 437.99 USd/Bu, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade