Will Anthony Santander win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

23¢
Bid/Ask 1/46¢·Spread 45¢·Vol $0·OI $1,273.51·Closes Dec 19, 2026·245d remaining
0x143aa838164564202af46959019cb3df756fa3fa5a338d8036c8a6d6e567c484
7-day price104 snapshots · 3 regime
43¢12¢Apr 12Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 45¢ spread despite modest $1,273.51 open interest, suggesting very thin order books and potentially unreliable pricing. The 498% implied yield on the yes side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine market conviction, while the 3,824% realized volatility indicates this is a highly unstable micro-market prone to sharp price swings. With 245 days to expiration and only 0.5 information arrivals per hour, this market lacks sufficient trading activity and news flow to establish reliable odds for Santander's comeback award chances.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.4%
IY (No) 44.5%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 3
RV 3688%
VR 13.93
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)498.4%
IY (No)44.5%
Adj IY0%
CRI3
RV3688%
VR13.93
IAR0.5/h
Overround1.1%
LAS1.96

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
45¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 7:54:49 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/17/2026, 7:53:51 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x143aa838164564202af46959019cb3df756fa3fa5a338d8036c8a6d6e567c484 yes 100

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