SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 7 outcomes7 contractsKalshirefreshed 3 min agoCloses May 23, 2027 · 379d

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English)

Leader sits at 41% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 8%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

41%

Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya

runner-up 8¢leader 41¢

Outcomes

7

winner-take-all

Runner-up

Alexis Tipton as Reze

Spread

33pp

contested

24h volume

$22

thin orderbook

Closes

May 23, 2027

379 days

Venue

Kalshi

7 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayJustin Briner as Izuku Midoriya: 33% (12 days, 7 points)Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya: 33% on 2026-05-07Alexis Tipton as Reze: 8% (12 days, 8 points)Alexis Tipton as Reze: 8% on 2026-04-22Lucien Dodge as Akaza: 8% (12 days, 7 points)Lucien Dodge as Akaza: 8% on 2026-05-07
Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya33¢Alexis Tipton as Reze8¢Lucien Dodge as Akaza8¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 12d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This probability reflects the current market belief that a specific English voice actor will win the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance. At 35%, the frontrunner contract is trading significantly above the second-place candidate at 7%, indicating moderate confidence but meaningful uncertainty about the ultimate winner. Voice acting awards depend heavily on voter preferences within Crunchyroll's community and the strength of performances across eligible 2025-2026 anime releases. The probability will likely shift closer to the award ceremony date as fan voting windows open and nomination announcements clarify the competitive field. Key movements would come from unexpected high-profile performances, shifts in fan engagement patterns, or clearer information about voting mechanics and eligibility timelines. The Crunchyroll Anime Awards typically occur in early 2027, meaning current pricing reflects incomplete information about the full year's releases and voter sentiment.

  • The current leader trades at 35% while the runner-up is at 7%, indicating a significant gap but not overwhelming consensus—other candidates hold substantial combined probability.
  • Crunchyroll's awards voting is community-driven; engagement levels and fan mobilization for specific voice actors can shift probabilities materially as nomination periods approach.
  • The award categories shown (Best Continuing Series, Best Song, Best Character Design) are highly liquid with prices ranging 47-61¢, suggesting active market participation and potentially correlated voter bases.
  • Trading volume on the voice acting contract (7 Kalshi contracts, Kalshi averaging only 11% across them) is lower than award categories with $100-194 daily volume, indicating thinner liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads.
  • Final resolution depends on the timing of nomination announcements, voting window dates, and whether any major anime voice acting performances between now and early 2027 shift audience perception of frontrunners.

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.