SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 7 outcomes7 contractsKalshirefreshed 3 min agoCloses May 23, 2027 · 379d

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (French)

Leader sits at 18% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 17%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

18%

Bastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya

runner-up 17¢leader 18¢

Outcomes

7

winner-take-all

Runner-up

17¢

Clara Soares as Reze

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$6

thin orderbook

Closes

May 23, 2027

379 days

Venue

Kalshi

7 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayBastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya: 22% (10 days, 10 points)Bastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya: 22% on 2026-05-02Clara Soares as Reze: 19% (10 days, 3 points)Clara Soares as Reze: 19% on 2026-05-01Jonathan Gimbord as Hikaru: 8% (10 days, 4 points)Jonathan Gimbord as Hikaru: 8% on 2026-05-01
Bastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya22¢Clara Soares as Reze19¢Jonathan Gimbord as Hikaru8¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 10d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This contract reflects the current odds that a specific French voice actor will win the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance. At 21%, the leading candidate is viewed as the frontrunner but far from certain, with six other contenders splitting the remaining 79% of probability. The outcome depends primarily on voting preferences within Crunchyroll's community and industry judging panels, which remain largely opaque until results are announced. The award ceremony typically occurs in early summer, making the announcement date the key catalyst that will resolve this market. Voice acting recognition is inherently subjective and influenced by both the scale of eligible performances and voter familiarity with French dubbing work across 2025-2026 releases. Market pricing suggests meaningful uncertainty about which voice artist will ultimately prevail.

  • The leading contract trades at 21% while the runner-up sits at 18%, indicating competitive uncertainty rather than a dominant favorite
  • Kalshi's seven-contract structure means this is a true winner-take-all market with all probability distributed across seven distinct voice artist candidates
  • The Crunchyroll Awards voting mechanism—involving community votes and judge deliberation—remains partially opaque to external observers, limiting prediction confidence
  • Trading volume on this specific contract (7 contracts total) appears limited relative to other Crunchyroll Award categories shown, suggesting less market liquidity
  • The timeframe to award announcement creates a defined resolution date, but no announced nominees or voting schedule appears publicly available yet

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.