Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets
Leader sits at 70% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)
0x3e06fb…e372
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x941c76…4430
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x4c686c…6e90
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x60e936…d2f6
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xb1ea42…0ef9
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe12e1c…d46f
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)
0x61966e…1923
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)
0xa74110…3c9c
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
0x05fe12…56a1
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 3.5↓25pp25→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)↓15pp15→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)↓14pp14→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 4.5↓11pp20→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↓9pp9→0¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.