Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC
Leader sits at 53% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 25%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Beijing Guoan FC
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
25¢
Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. S
Spread
28pp
contested
24h volume
$14
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC
0x46771e…1f8f
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
0x1d4e65…bbdc
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Beijing Guoan FC
0xdbc00f…d4fe
What moved the line
- May 7Shanghai Haigang FC↓8pp28→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)↓6pp29→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Beijing Guoan FC↑3pp52→55¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Will Wenyi Ding lead at the end of Round 1 in the Volvo China Openlast 3% · 0d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Marketslast 84% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FClast 60% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Marketslast 84% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FClast 84% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.