Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 83% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 61%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
61¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$39
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)
0x4b9aad…3add
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x15c087…f38b
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1a1e7c…a748
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x348945…d1ad
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x7e015a…be2e
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x291447…4f6b
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
0x7bc8c8…4733
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
0xa7a2ef…0ac4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
0x08b864…13de
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 1.5↑8pp74→82¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Both Teams to Score↑6pp54→60¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)↓5pp21→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)↓4pp22→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 3.5↑3pp38→41¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Will Wenyi Ding lead at the end of Round 1 in the Volvo China Openlast 3% · 0d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Marketslast 84% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FClast 60% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Marketslast 84% · 2d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FClast 84% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.