Will RSC Anderlecht win the Belgian Pro League
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 9% across 3 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
9%
3 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
3 contracts
Closes
Jun 15, 2026
37 days
Bracket families
3 clusters across 3 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will St. Truidense VV win the Belgian Pro League
Will St. Truidense VV win the Belgian Pro League?: St. Truidense VV
KXBELGIANPL-26-STT
Cluster 2
Will RSC Anderlecht win the Belgian Pro League
Will RSC Anderlecht win the Belgian Pro League?: RSC Anderlecht
KXBELGIANPL-26-RSC
Cluster 3
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the Belgian Pro League
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the Belgian Pro League?: Union Saint-Gilloise
KXBELGIANPL-26-USG
Analysis
This 9% probability reflects market expectations that RSC Anderlecht will win the 2026 Belgian Pro League championship. The odds suggest traders view Anderlecht as a significant underdog, likely reflecting their historical performance relative to dominant Belgian clubs like Club Brugge and Union Saint-Gilloise. The probability could shift based on their mid-season performance metrics—particularly their points accumulation, goal differential, and injury status of key players. The main uncertainty will resolve through the league's final matches in May 2026, when the champion is mathematically determined. Current market pricing reflects approximately 91% probability that another Belgian team claims the title, indicating confidence that Anderlecht faces substantial competition for the championship.
- ›Current league standings and Anderlecht's points total relative to competitors as of May 2026
- ›Remaining fixture difficulty and head-to-head results against direct title contenders
- ›Historical win rates: Anderlecht's championship frequency versus Union Saint-Gilloise and Club Brugge over the past 5 seasons
- ›Depth and injury status of Anderlecht's squad compared to rivals
- ›Trading volume and price movement on this contract relative to other Belgian Pro League winner markets
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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