CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)
Leader sits at 11% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 3%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
3¢
CA Barracas Central (-2.5)
Spread
8pp
contested
24h volume
$108
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central
Analysis
This market reflects a 13% probability that CA Barracas Central will win by 2.5 or more goals against Club Olimpia. The low probability suggests Olimpia is favored or a close match is expected. Argentine Primera División matchups are influenced by team form, recent head-to-head records, home-field advantage, and squad injury status. The fixture outcome will be determined once the match concludes. Key drivers of the probability include relative team rankings, goal-scoring consistency this season, and defensive vulnerabilities. The match result will provide definitive resolution, eliminating all uncertainty around this specific outcome.
- ›CA Barracas Central's current league position and recent win-loss record versus Club Olimpia's defensive statistics
- ›Average goals scored and conceded per match by Barracas Central this season relative to the 2.5-goal margin requirement
- ›Head-to-head historical results and goal differentials between these two clubs in recent matchups
- ›Whether the match is played at Barracas Central's home stadium, where performance typically differs from away matches
- ›Injury status or suspension of key attacking or defensive players for either team ahead of the fixture
What moved the line
- May 7CA Barracas Central (-2.5)↑24pp4→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 6CA Barracas Central (-2.5)↓17pp21→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 6CA Barracas Central (-1.5)↓12pp23→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 7CA Barracas Central (-1.5)↑6pp11→17¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (11% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.