SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 8, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all · 2 outcomes2 contractsPolymarketclosed 21 h agoCloses May 7, 2026 · 0d

CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC - More Markets: CA Boston River (-2.5)

Leader sits at 6% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 5%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

6%

CA Boston River (-1.5)

runner-up 5¢leader 6¢

Outcomes

2

winner-take-all

Runner-up

CA Boston River (-2.5)

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

May 7, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

2 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayCA Boston River (-1.5): 0% (3 days, 3 points)CA Boston River (-1.5): 0% on 2026-05-08CA Boston River (-2.5): 0% (3 days, 3 points)CA Boston River (-2.5): 0% on 2026-05-08
CA Boston River (-1.5)0¢CA Boston River (-2.5)0¢
Top 2 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 8CA Boston River (-1.5)9pp90¢ · Polymarket
  • May 8CA Boston River (-2.5)8pp80¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7CA Boston River (-2.5)3pp58¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 2 contracts (6% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 21 h ago.