Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. CDP Junior FC - More Markets: CDP Junior FC (-2.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 17 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
25%
17 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$7K
17 contracts
Closes
May 30, 2026
22 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 17 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 20% of their title tokens — “Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets” vs “Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbd91ad…e563
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x7dbbcc…5def
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x918a9b…2eb7
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x235d60…e322
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5)
0x457f50…fc0a
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-1.5)
0xf9ba9e…120c
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)
0xf2f098…756f
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-2.5)
0x0a4cf4…a0fc
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x751636…dd07
Cluster 2
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x6c9dfd…2435
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
0xf8dc44…3961
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe5bd70…4ec1
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5509fe…6839
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: Barcelona SC (-1.5)
0x69d6ed…d3d6
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x466b1e…275c
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x6fb786…a248
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)
0x054c76…b352
What moved the line
- May 7Both Teams to Score↑53pp47→100¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↓41pp41→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 1.5↑36pp64→100¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 1.5↓29pp63→34¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Both Teams to Score↓23pp44→21¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.