CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: CD Real Tomayapo (-2.5)
Leader sits at 85% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 76%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
76¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
9pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: CD Real Tomayapo (-1.5)
0x219cd3…ed4c
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x10791c…8ba7
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb02d01…030a
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x7244ed…fb73
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x75feb6…f0c4
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x961548…a03a
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo (-2.5)
0x2c246d…2a63
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: CD Real Tomayapo (-2.5)
0xefae20…2c59
CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - More Markets: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo (-1.5)
0xd99cbb…7790
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 1.5↑14pp66→80¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Both Teams to Score↑13pp56→69¢ · Polymarket
- May 7CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo (-2.5)↓12pp28→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↑12pp54→66¢ · Polymarket
- May 7CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo (-1.5)↓11pp33→22¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.