ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 9, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.

Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketclosed 2 h agoCloses May 8, 2026 · 0d

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 67% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 45%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

67%

O/U 1.5

0¢runner-up 45¢leader 67¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

45¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

22pp

contested

24h volume

$372

thin orderbook

Closes

May 8, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

O/U 1.559¢Both Teams to Score52¢O/U 2.535¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets

9 contracts$372

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0x6267aa…5472

40¢−3pp$163P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0x497fbf…f029

19¢+1pp$109P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0xebb6b8…7fb9

67¢−8pp$38P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: Club Cerro Porteño (-1.5)

0xb7a79b…f92d

6¢+14pp$24P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0xb8908b…c7a8

8¢+3pp$16P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: Club Cerro Porteño (-2.5)

0xa17494…8192

4¢+25pp$12P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)

0x437410…5297

22¢−9pp$7P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0x9ac154…c142

45¢+7pp$2P→

CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño - More Markets: CDP Junior FC (-2.5)

0xd53a72…c8d6

10¢+11pp$0P→

What moved the line

May 8Club Cerro Porteño (-2.5)↑25pp5→30¢ · Polymarket
May 8Club Cerro Porteño (-1.5)↑14pp6→20¢ · Polymarket
May 8CDP Junior FC (-2.5)↑11pp10→21¢ · Polymarket
May 8CDP Junior FC (-1.5)↓9pp22→13¢ · Polymarket
May 8O/U 1.5↓8pp67→59¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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