CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets
Leader sits at 84% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
63¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$346
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: CF Montréal (-2.5)
0x545042…5948
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9c8cae…7fa8
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xb28f6f…5611
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: Orlando City SC (-1.5)
0xf77d6c…c2d5
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: CF Montréal (-1.5)
0xd5ab08…1201
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xb6a4bd…ca7f
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: Orlando City SC (-2.5)
0x138a46…4c30
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x134e17…210f
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xea98eb…6ed2
What moved the line
- May 7Orlando City SC (-2.5)↓5pp10→5¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.