Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 85% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 66%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
66¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$364
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc6f8d0…d7bf
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x0d664c…58cb
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xf85773…31fe
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf96b06…6e4f
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)
0x869a6a…4522
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)
0x5232d6…7de7
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc0a65a…2079
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)
0x84d2f4…7aaf
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
0xeeea9e…2ed8
What moved the line
- May 6Both Teams to Score↑22pp51→73¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)↓22pp26→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)↑16pp17→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)↓16pp33→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)↑15pp11→26¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.