ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 6, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.

Winner-take-all · 11 outcomes11 contractsPolymarketclosed 3 d agoCloses May 6, 2026 · 0d

Club Always Ready vs. CD Oriente Petrolero

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 71% across 11 bound outcomes, runner-up at 56%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

71%

O/U 1.5

0¢runner-up 56¢leader 71¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

56¢

Club Always Ready

Spread

15pp

contested

24h volume

$14K

liquid

Closes

May 6, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

11 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

O/U 1.572¢Club Always Ready70¢Both Teams to Score31¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 4d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús

11 contracts$14K

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: Club Always Ready

0x13f50a…8f85

56¢+15pp$6KP→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús

0x4eec59…304b

19¢—$5KP→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0x8d310e…5d65

71¢−1pp$1KP→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: Draw (Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús)

0x8e958f…4280

27¢−9pp$823P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Club Always Ready (-1.5)

0x2e9327…c801

28¢+29pp$407P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0xeb794d…054a

45¢±0$70P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0x2fed3b…46e3

23¢+13pp$61P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: CA Lanús (-1.5)

0x1d631a…538c

5¢−11pp$55P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0x1e22e5…b421

10¢−1pp$40P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0xc4d731…309a

47¢−19pp$2P→

Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Club Always Ready (-2.5)

0xc5ba68…5ab4

12¢+33pp$0P→

What moved the line

May 6Club Always Ready (-2.5)↑33pp20→53¢ · Polymarket
May 6Club Always Ready (-1.5)↑29pp29→58¢ · Polymarket
May 6Both Teams to Score↓19pp50→31¢ · Polymarket
May 6Club Always Ready↑15pp55→70¢ · Polymarket
May 6O/U 3.5↑13pp27→40¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 d ago.

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