Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 10, 2026 · 1d

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 89% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 70%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

89%

O/U 1.5

0¢runner-up 70¢leader 89¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

70¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

19pp

contested

24h volume

thin orderbook

Closes

May 10, 2026

1 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

O/U 1.585¢O/U 2.570¢Both Teams to Score71¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 2d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets

9 contracts$0

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-2.5)

0x07dc6f…1541

17¢+6pp$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0xac11a4…27c0

69¢±0$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0x3187cf…346b

32¢—$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0x487116…e95a

50¢—$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0xff51be…a6ec

70¢−3pp$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0xb73a43…eafc

89¢+3pp$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Blooming (-2.5)

0x6206b6…7657

11¢—$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-1.5)

0x0a2972…fe8f

26¢+2pp$0P→

Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Blooming (-1.5)

0xd09ce2…d886

13¢±0$0P→

What moved the line

May 8Club Bolívar (-2.5)↑6pp24→30¢ · Polymarket
May 8O/U 1.5↑3pp82→85¢ · Polymarket
May 8O/U 2.5↓3pp73→70¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.

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