Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets
Leader sits at 78% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 58%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
58¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$919
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x347c3e…c0ac
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
0xb3bd3d…9cb3
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xbddd00…d3d7
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)
0x3dcacf…63dc
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2d878e…fd5f
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: Club Blooming (-1.5)
0x2c2e0b…fd1b
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb8e53d…fe45
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xda2107…e6b8
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets: Club Blooming (-2.5)
0xdbe817…8b38
What moved the line
- May 8Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)↑47pp9→56¢ · Polymarket
- May 8O/U 3.5↑43pp29→72¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)↑41pp24→65¢ · Polymarket
- May 8O/U 4.5↑37pp14→51¢ · Polymarket
- May 8O/U 2.5↑33pp51→84¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 h ago.