SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 10, 2026 · 1d

Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras - More Markets

Leader sits at 76% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 52%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

76%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 52¢leader 76¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

52¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

24pp

contested

24h volume

$1K

modest

Closes

May 10, 2026

1 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 77% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 1.5: 77% on 2026-05-08Both Teams to Score: 53% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 53% on 2026-05-08O/U 2.5: 50% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 2.5: 50% on 2026-05-07
O/U 1.577¢Both Teams to Score53¢O/U 2.550¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

The 51% probability reflects market sentiment that both Clube do Remo and SE Palmeiras will score in their upcoming match. This outcome currently leads three related contracts tracking different spreads and scorelines for this fixture. Low trading volume across all three contracts suggests limited recent activity and potentially thin liquidity. The Both Teams to Score market is a common betting structure in football, sensitive to team form, defensive capabilities, and recent goal-scoring patterns. Resolution will occur when the match concludes and final scorelines are confirmed. The relatively high probability (above 50%) indicates traders see this as slightly more likely than not, though the lack of significant volume means the price may shift with new bets or updated information about team lineups and conditions.

  • SE Palmeiras' recent defensive record and goals conceded in their last 5-10 matches
  • Clube do Remo's offensive output and goals scored in recent fixtures
  • Team lineup confirmation closer to match day, including injuries to key forwards or defenders
  • Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these two clubs
  • Match timing and venue conditions that may affect open, attacking play

What moved the line

  • May 7Clube do Remo (-2.5)4pp106¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.