Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 71% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 51%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
51¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)
0x31309d…5de8
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd259e0…fe61
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x1998b1…61a0
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8c49a6…3bef
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x0f9f45…6078
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa442f9…edbf
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: América FC (-2.5)
0xe1ea56…4dcb
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-2.5)
0x029d07…95c5
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - More Markets: América FC (-1.5)
0x86a9a5…773c
What moved the line
- May 8América FC (-2.5)↑4pp9→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Both Teams to Score↓4pp52→48¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Both Teams to Score↑4pp48→52¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-2.5)↓3pp16→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 7América FC (-2.5)↓3pp12→9¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.