Winner-take-all · 19 outcomes19 contractsKalshirefreshed 1 min agoCloses May 29, 2026 · 21d

Will the copper close price be above $6.89 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 88% across 19 bound outcomes, runner-up at 87%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

88%

above $5.33

0¢runner-up 87¢leader 88¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

87¢

above $5.39

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$115

thin orderbook

Closes

May 29, 2026

21 days

Venue

Kalshi

19 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

above $5.3390¢above $5.3992¢above $5.4591¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 5d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will the copper close price be above

19 contracts$115

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will the copper close price be above 5.81 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.81

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.81

79¢±0$95K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.95 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.95

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.95

3¢±0$4K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.89 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.89

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.89

3¢±0$4K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.77 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.77

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.77

3¢−2pp$4K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.71 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.71

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.71

5¢−2pp$4K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.65 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.65

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.65

8¢−2pp$2K→

Will the copper close price be above 6.59 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $6.59

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T6.59

12¢−2pp$2K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.45 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.45

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.45

87¢+3pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.39 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.39

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.39

87¢+3pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.33 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.33

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.33

88¢±0$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.27 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.27

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.27

83¢±0$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.21 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.21

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.21

83¢−6pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.15 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.15

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.15

71¢+3pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.09 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.09

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.09

72¢+12pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 5.03 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.03

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T5.03

73¢+7pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 4.97 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4.97

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T4.97

82¢+5pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 4.91 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4.91

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T4.91

74¢+7pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 4.85 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4.85

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T4.85

74¢+4pp$0K→

Will the copper close price be above 4.79 USD/Lbs on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4.79

KXCOPPERMON-26MAY2917-T4.79

75¢−2pp$0K→

What moved the line

May 6above $4.79↑22pp70→92¢ · Kalshi
May 6above $5.81↑18pp53→71¢ · Kalshi
May 6above $5.39↑16pp73→89¢ · Kalshi
May 6above $5.45↑16pp72→88¢ · Kalshi
May 3above $5.81↑15pp38→53¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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