Will the copper close price be above 6.20 USD/Lbs on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 88% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 88%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $5.69
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
88¢
above $5.72
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$34
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the copper close price be above 5
Will the copper close price be above 5.78 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.78
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.78
Will the copper close price be above 5.96 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.96
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.96
Will the copper close price be above 5.93 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.93
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.93
Will the copper close price be above 5.90 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.90
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.90
Will the copper close price be above 5.87 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.87
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.87
Will the copper close price be above 5.84 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.84
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.84
Will the copper close price be above 5.81 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.81
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.81
Will the copper close price be above 5.75 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.75
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.75
Will the copper close price be above 5.72 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.72
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.72
Will the copper close price be above 5.69 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.69
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.69
Will the copper close price be above 5.66 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.66
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.66
Will the copper close price be above 5.63 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.63
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.63
Will the copper close price be above 5.60 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.60
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.60
Will the copper close price be above 5.57 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.57
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.57
Will the copper close price be above 5.54 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.54
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.54
Will the copper close price be above 5.51 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.51
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.51
Will the copper close price be above 5.48 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.48
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.48
Will the copper close price be above 5.45 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.45
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.45
Will the copper close price be above 5.42 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.42
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.42
Will the copper close price be above 5.39 USD/Lbs on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.39
KXCOPPERW-26MAY1517-T5.39
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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