SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 9, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all · 2 outcomes2 contractsPolymarketclosed 3 h agoCloses May 9, 2026 · 0d

Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional - More Markets: SC Internacional (-1.5)

Leader sits at 14% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 3%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

14%

SC Internacional (-1.5)

runner-up 3¢leader 14¢

Outcomes

2

winner-take-all

Runner-up

SC Internacional (-2.5)

Spread

11pp

contested

24h volume

$76

thin orderbook

Closes

May 9, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

2 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodaySC Internacional (-1.5): 12% (3 days, 3 points)SC Internacional (-1.5): 12% on 2026-05-08SC Internacional (-2.5): 5% (3 days, 3 points)SC Internacional (-2.5): 5% on 2026-05-08
SC Internacional (-1.5)12¢SC Internacional (-2.5)5¢
Top 2 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 7SC Internacional (-1.5)6pp1711¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7SC Internacional (-2.5)5pp127¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 2 contracts (14% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.