Strasbourg Alsace vs Nice
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 27% across 7 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
27%
7 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$14
7 contracts
Closes
Jun 10, 2026
33 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 7 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Strasbourg Alsace
Strasbourg Alsace at Angers: Both Teams to Score: Both Teams To Score
KXLIGUE1BTTS-26MAY10ANGRCS
Strasbourg Alsace at Angers: Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored
KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAY10ANGRCS-3
Strasbourg Alsace at Angers: Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored
KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAY10ANGRCS-4
Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals?: Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals
KXLIGUE1SPREAD-26MAY10ANGRCS-RCS1
Cluster 2
Angers vs Strasbourg Alsace Winner
Cluster 3
Will Strasbourg Alsace finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season
Will Strasbourg Alsace finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?: Strasbourg Alsace
KXLIGUE1TOP4-26-RCS
What moved the line
- May 6Angers↑24pp5→29¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Both Teams to Score: Both Teams To Score↑5pp48→53¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals↑3pp12→15¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored↑3pp4→7¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.