CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets
Leader sits at 69% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
23pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: CR Brasil (-1.5)
0x2a30cf…165e
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x70e105…8dc9
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa5f522…1970
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0576cc…58ce
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xedd958…67ba
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x6f8677…c120
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5)
0x63e6bb…b54b
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: CR Brasil (-2.5)
0xe958cd…1429
CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets: Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5)
0x0040a3…e89b
Analysis
This market reflects the probability that both CR Brasil and Operário Ferroviário EC will score in their upcoming fixture. The 50% probability on the 'Both Teams to Score' contract indicates the market perceives roughly equal likelihood of a multi-goal outcome versus a match where at least one team is shut out. Factors influencing this level include each team's recent offensive and defensive form, their head-to-head scoring patterns, and current lineup availability. The match itself will definitively resolve this contract once played, with resolution depending on whether both teams register at least one goal across the 90+ minutes. The low trading volume across all three related contracts suggests limited market participation, which may mean the probability reflects thin liquidity rather than deep consensus. Teams' tactical approaches—whether either side prioritizes defensive solidity—will be the primary determinant of the outcome.
- ›Recent goal-scoring frequency for both CR Brasil and Operário Ferroviário EC in their respective recent matches
- ›Defensive record and goals-conceded average for each team over their last 5-10 fixtures
- ›Head-to-head history between these teams, if available, regarding scoring patterns and defensive approaches
- ›Current player availability, particularly key attacking or defensive personnel, which may affect each team's expected output
- ›Match timing and context (league position, motivation, potential fixture congestion) that might influence tactical setup
What moved the line
- May 7Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5)↓3pp12→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5)↓3pp13→10¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.