Cusco FC vs. FC Cajamarca - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 11 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
25%
11 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$642
11 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets” vs “Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x21404a…1e39
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)
0xedbf98…a9d2
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xa6a158…2cf5
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x5a357f…e2d8
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x85655c…e0c8
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: Cusco FC (-1.5)
0x413b32…a054
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: Cusco FC (-2.5)
0x8b94a2…391e
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc3eb9b…d2bb
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - More Markets: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)
0xb7999b…5ff6
Cluster 2
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
0x2ae2eb…68c8
Cluster 3
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 2.5↓34pp34→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)↓20pp26→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 3.5↓18pp18→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)↓15pp15→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Cusco FC (-1.5)↓13pp13→0¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.