Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 69% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$323
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xf7452a…379d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x819f66…b804
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x647d5e…5683
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
0x34f0f5…9f1b
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x41b3d3…bd66
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x2e5d61…f71c
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
0x68a549…63f8
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
0x2ac2e7…05c7
Analysis
The markets currently assign a 62% probability that the Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC match will have at least 2 goals total (over 1.5), indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring encounter. This reflects a modest lean toward goals without suggesting a goal-fest scenario — the under 1.5 contract trades at 38%, showing meaningful belief in either a 0-0 draw or single-goal matches. The split pricing across goal-total thresholds (62% for O/U 1.5, 48% for O/U 2.5, 41% for O/U 3.5) suggests gradual uncertainty as goal totals increase. Resolution occurs at match conclusion, likely within the next 1-2 weeks based on typical K-League scheduling. Factors affecting these levels include each team's recent form, typical attacking output, defensive stability, home/away status if applicable, and any injury or personnel changes announced before kickoff.
- ›Recent goal-scoring records for both clubs; teams averaging >1.5 goals per match historically lean the market higher, while defensive-oriented teams push it lower
- ›Zero trading volume in the past 24 hours indicates minimal new information or market activity, so the 62% price may reflect stale positioning rather than fresh consensus
- ›Contrast between spread contracts (Daejeon/Pohang at ~33-34¢ each) and total-goals contracts (clustering 41-62¢) suggests greater certainty about match structure than about winner, pointing to relatively even team strength
- ›Match context including home/away designation, whether either team is in a winning or losing streak, and any announced absences due to injury or international duty
- ›K-League seasonal phase and typical match volatility; early-season fixtures often differ in scoring patterns from mid-season or playoff periods
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.