DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan
Leader sits at 42% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 40%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Uzbekistan
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
40¢
DR Congo
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
49 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that DR Congo will defeat Uzbekistan in an upcoming match. The 43% implied odds suggest the outcome is viewed as uncertain but lean slightly against DR Congo. The probability reflects differing team strengths, recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantages if applicable. Factors that could shift this probability include roster changes, coaching decisions, and performance in preliminary matches. The resolution will occur when the match concludes and a winner is determined, with the exact date depending on the tournament or competition schedule.
- ›DR Congo's recent competitive record and FIFA ranking relative to Uzbekistan's
- ›Historical head-to-head performance between these teams if matches have been played
- ›Home vs. away status and venue advantage, if the match location favors one team
- ›Current squad injury status and availability of key players for both teams
- ›Tournament stage and context (qualifying, group play, knockout round) affecting team motivation and resource allocation
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.