What will GE Vernova Inc. say during their next earnings call
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 6% across 4 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
6%
4 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$7K
4 contracts
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
144 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 4 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Nvidia
KXEARNINGSMENTIONLYFT-26MAY07-NVID
What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Safety
KXEARNINGSMENTIONLYFT-26MAY07-SAFE
What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Mobileye
KXEARNINGSMENTIONLYFT-26MAY07-MOBI
Cluster 2
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Social Media
KXEARNINGSMENTIONABNB-26MAY07-SOCI
What moved the line
- May 7Safety↓26pp69→43¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Safety↑25pp44→69¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Mobileye↓24pp50→26¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Safety↓15pp59→44¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Social Media↓14pp55→41¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.