What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 94% across 14 bound outcomes, runner-up at 86%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Testosterone
Outcomes
14
winner-take-all
Runner-up
86¢
FDA
Spread
8pp
contested
24h volume
$3K
modest
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
144 days
Venue
Kalshi
14 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Collaboration
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-COLL
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: FDA
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-FDA
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Lab Testing
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-LABT
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Vitamin
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-VITA
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Canada
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-CANA
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Cancer
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-CANC
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Regulation
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-REGU
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Zava
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-ZAVA
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Testosterone
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-TEST
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Microdose / Microdosing
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-MICR
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Peptide
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-PEPT
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Amazon
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-AMAZ
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-TARI
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Europe
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHIMS-26MAY11-EURO
Analysis
This probability reflects market participants' collective assessment that peptide-related commentary will be the dominant topic during Hims & Hers Health's next earnings call, priced at 86 cents. The high confidence in peptide discussion reflects both the company's known focus on GLP-1 agonists and similar weight-loss compounds, as well as investor appetite for exposure to this market segment. Close runners-up on testosterone (83¢) and lab testing (77¢) suggest meaningful uncertainty about which product category receives emphasis. The key driver moving this probability will be management's actual statements during the earnings call itself—the timing of which depends on when Hims & Hers announces their next quarterly results. Secondary factors include recent company announcements about peptide availability, competitive developments in the telehealth weight-loss space, and any regulatory changes affecting these product categories prior to the call.
- ›Hims & Hers' peptide/GLP-1 agonist revenue and growth rate relative to other product lines in their most recent reported quarter
- ›Competitive activity in telehealth-delivered weight-loss medications during the period preceding the earnings call
- ›Recent or pending regulatory actions affecting peptide availability, compounding rules, or telehealth restrictions
- ›The company's stated strategic priorities in previous earnings calls and investor communications
- ›The specific date and timing of the next scheduled earnings announcement, which determines when resolution occurs
What moved the line
- May 8Peptide↑24pp58→82¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Lab Testing↑20pp59→79¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Collaboration↑13pp32→45¢ · Kalshi
- May 8FDA↓9pp64→55¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Zava↑5pp66→71¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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