EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets
Leader sits at 67% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 48%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
48¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$1
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5a7070…aadd
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: EC Juventude (-2.5)
0x8f3c44…2b50
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: Criciúma EC (-1.5)
0x94c278…a72e
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: EC Juventude (-1.5)
0x115b08…4fbf
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x0654e7…aff0
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xcdd4dc…d443
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x402460…87c9
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x38cd03…0a67
EC Juventude vs. Criciúma EC - More Markets: Criciúma EC (-2.5)
0xecd734…2860
Analysis
This market reflects the likelihood that both EC Juventude and Criciúma EC will score goals in their upcoming match. At 49%, the outcome suggests near-parity between scenarios where both teams find the net versus at least one fails to score. The probability is primarily shaped by each team's recent offensive and defensive form, home/away status, and historical head-to-head scoring patterns. The contract's low trading volume ($0 in 24h) indicates minimal market activity, so the 49% price may reflect limited price discovery rather than consensus conviction. The match result will definitively resolve this contract when the game concludes, making actual goal distributions the sole determining factor.
- ›Recent goal-scoring rates for both teams across their last 5-10 matches in the 2026 season
- ›Defensive vulnerability metrics: goals conceded per match by each team in home and away contexts
- ›Head-to-head historical data showing frequency of both-teams-to-score outcomes in prior Juventude-Criciúma matchups
- ›Starting lineup availability and injuries to key attacking or defensive players for either side
- ›Very low 24-hour trading volume ($0) suggesting illiquidity and potential for large price movements once genuine interest emerges
What moved the line
- May 8Criciúma EC (-2.5)↓5pp10→5¢ · Polymarket
- May 8EC Juventude (-2.5)↓4pp12→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 8EC Juventude (-1.5)↑3pp14→17¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.