El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets
Leader sits at 59% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 41%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
41¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
18pp
contested
24h volume
$15
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x370a71…7bcf
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x41f389…50ab
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x6c3ff3…bb69
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2b5480…ef7a
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2a0827…84fd
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)
0xd20d0d…355b
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: El Gouna SC (-1.5)
0x2c21f6…693e
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-1.5)
0xd3e608…316f
What moved the line
- May 7El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-1.5)↑4pp15→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 7El Gouna SC (-1.5)↓4pp10→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 7El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓4pp9→5¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.