FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)
Leader sits at 10% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 3%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
3¢
FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)
Spread
7pp
contested
24h volume
$31
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock
Analysis
This market reflects a 33% probability that FC Mito Holly Hock will defeat Urawa Red Diamonds by at least 1.5 goals or more. The probability suggests Urawa is favored, though the spread is relatively tight in market terms. Current pricing reflects historical matchup dynamics, recent team form, and relative league standing between a mid-table club and a stronger opponent. The main factors influencing this price are team injury status, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head historical results. Resolution depends on the scheduled match outcome, with the final score determining whether Holly Hock covers the -1.5 spread. Very low trading volume suggests limited market liquidity and potentially wide bid-ask spreads.
- ›FC Mito Holly Hock's current league position and recent win/loss record compared to Urawa Red Diamonds
- ›Key player availability or injury status for either team leading into the match
- ›Historical head-to-head performance between these clubs, particularly results in similar league conditions
- ›Urawa's defensive record this season versus Holly Hock's offensive output over recent matches
- ›Match location (home/away advantage) and any recent momentum shifts in either team's performance
What moved the line
- May 7FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)↓11pp22→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 7FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)↓9pp15→6¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (10% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.