FedEx Cup Playoffs
Leader sits at 18% across 17 bound outcomes, runner-up at 17%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Winner: Hideki Matsuyama
Outcomes
17
winner-take-all
Runner-up
17¢
Winner: Rory McIlroy
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$76
thin orderbook
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
114 days
Venue
Polymarket
17 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Sam Burns
0xb279af…9518
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Cameron Young
0x522547…6edb
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Hideki Matsuyama
0x1da026…7a4e
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Min Woo Lee
0x4b2cc0…642c
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
0x838813…8748
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Daniel Berger
0x0c07b9…baf4
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Ryo Hisatsune
0x45cd5a…8227
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick
0x0dfe80…6509
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Collin Morikawa
0x0cfe53…605e
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Adam Scott
0xa055b1…6a5c
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Nicolai Højgaard
0xd96b8c…5ed2
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Russell Henley
0x914a0a…1ede
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Justin Rose
0x9ca39e…b1f3
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Xander Schauffele
0x07ebdf…3e23
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Chris Gotterup
0xa2c8b8…5c80
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Scottie Scheffler
0xc6dc5e…cf39
FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner: Rory McIlroy
0x888188…a629
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.