FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5)
Leader sits at 82% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
63¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5)
0x6f2838…7353
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xcac0b3…881f
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3135b9…30b8
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xce3be8…2c96
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x960ac0…25f6
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbe6cd5…bc0f
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)
0xc017cd…0c56
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-2.5)
0x5f10f2…2b25
FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)
0x4f0598…03e8
Analysis
This market reflects a strong expectation that FK Železiarne Podbrezová will win by more than 1.5 goals against ŠK Slovan Bratislava, priced at 81% probability. The high probability reflects Podbrezová's perceived offensive strength or Bratislava's defensive vulnerability in this specific matchup. The pricing could shift if injury reports, recent form changes, or head-to-head history suggest a tighter contest than current odds imply. Resolution depends on the final match result, likely occurring within the next few weeks of the 2026 Slovak football calendar. Low trading volume across contracts indicates limited recent market activity, so prices may not reflect the most current information.
- ›FK Železiarne Podbrezová's goal-scoring record and attacking efficiency compared to their opponent's defensive record this season
- ›ŠK Slovan Bratislava's recent form and availability of key players, particularly defenders, heading into this fixture
- ›Historical head-to-head results between these teams, including goal differentials in previous meetings
- ›The venue (home or away status for Podbrezová) and any related home-field advantage patterns for either team
- ›Polymarket contract liquidity remains near zero across all outcomes, suggesting limited arbitrage activity and potential price stickiness despite market moves
What moved the line
- May 7FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5)↓8pp27→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 7FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-2.5)↓6pp20→14¢ · Polymarket
- May 7ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)↓5pp27→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 7ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)↓3pp30→27¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.