Fujieda MYFC vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 34% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
34%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$658
20 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC” vs “RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC: Fujieda MYFC
0x4bfcf9…c395
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-2.5)
0x572064…4517
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x799b41…e88e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa89283…43b3
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-2.5)
0xa28785…00f2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-1.5)
0xb2f97d…27c2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2c9b2c…f16e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe281be…c04a
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-1.5)
0x37f47e…19c3
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae2766…6491
Cluster 2
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: RB Ōmiya Ardija
0xa076ba…2f3d
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2195c5…48b0
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5)
0xe2879d…4d3a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x728f89…870a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xbb1f4e…b486
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-2.5)
0x129775…a1cd
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5)
0x8e56cc…7711
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-1.5)
0x3783e6…bf0a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x0f34a8…10f8
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xfacf32…cc9f
What moved the line
- May 6Fukushima United FC (-2.5)↓31pp38→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Fukushima United FC (-1.5)↓26pp38→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Iwaki FC (-2.5)↓24pp35→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 1.5↑21pp61→82¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 4.5↓21pp34→13¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.