SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 10, 2026 · 1d

Fukushima United FC vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets

Leader sits at 66% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 53%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

66%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 53¢leader 66¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

53¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

13pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

May 10, 2026

1 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 64% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 1.5: 64% on 2026-05-08O/U 2.5: 50% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 50% on 2026-05-08Both Teams to Score: 48% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 48% on 2026-05-08
O/U 1.564¢O/U 2.550¢Both Teams to Score48¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market measures the probability that both Fukushima United FC and Júbilo Iwata will each score at least one goal in their matchup. The 52% probability reflects an expectation slightly favoring a goal from both sides over a match featuring at least one shutout. Pricing is driven by the offensive and defensive capabilities of both J-League clubs, their recent form, injury status, and historical head-to-head performance. The match outcome will be determined when the final whistle sounds and the official score is recorded. Resolution depends entirely on whether both teams find the net during regulation play.

  • Recent goal-scoring rates and defensive records for both Fukushima United FC and Júbilo Iwata in their last 5-10 J-League matches
  • Current player availability, particularly key strikers or defensive players, due to injury or suspension for either team
  • Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these two clubs in previous league encounters
  • Fukushima's home/away status and Júbilo Iwata's performance in similar conditions this season
  • Match importance (regular season, playoff implications, or other context) that may influence attacking vs. defensive tactics

What moved the line

  • May 8O/U 4.513pp229¢ · Polymarket
  • May 8Fukushima United FC (-2.5)3pp2629¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7O/U 4.53pp2522¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.