Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC
Leader sits at 42% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 30%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
30¢
Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs.
Spread
12pp
contested
24h volume
$582
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0x1690ea…0ac1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC
0xbd358c…ac10
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC)
0xfdf32e…a5e1
Analysis
The market currently prices Gimcheon Sangmu FC as a 42% favorite to win this match, with Incheon United FC at 35% and a draw at 33%. This represents near-even odds across all three outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the result. The probability reflects recent form, head-to-head history, and current league standing between these K League teams. Key factors include recent win-loss records, injuries or suspensions affecting key players, and home-field advantage. The match outcome will be definitively resolved when the game concludes, with the winner determined by final score or penalty shootout if applicable. Trading volume remains inactive at present, suggesting limited recent market conviction around this specific fixture.
- ›Recent form and goals scored/conceded by each team in their last 5-10 K League matches
- ›Head-to-head record and performance patterns in prior meetings between Gimcheon Sangmu and Incheon United
- ›Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international duty at match time
- ›Current league standings and points differential that may influence playing style or risk tolerance
- ›Whether the match is played at a neutral venue or one team's home ground, and historical home advantage statistics for each side
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.