Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets

30-day trend

Analysis

The 65% probability indicates markets expect Gimcheon Sangmu FC versus Incheon United FC to exceed 1.5 total goals scored. The market structure reveals fragmented liquidity across multiple outcome contracts—goals under 1.5, over 3.5, and various goal-spread markets—with no single contract dominating price discovery. The lean toward over 1.5 goals reflects baseline expectations about K League scoring patterns, though the runner-up contract at 54% (likely an alternative total or spread) suggests meaningful disagreement about the match's offensive output. Resolution depends on the match outcome itself, which would determine the final goal total. Currently, zero trading volume in the past 24 hours indicates minimal recent price revision, suggesting either stable expectations or low market participation at current price levels.

• ›The O/U 1.5 contract leads at 65%, while O/U 3.5 trades at 36%, indicating asymmetric probability distribution across goal thresholds
• ›Gimcheon Sangmu FC spread contracts (−1.5 at 34¢, −2.5 at 29¢) trade higher than Incheon United equivalents (28-29¢), reflecting either stronger expected performance or market sentiment favoring Gimcheon
• ›Zero 24-hour trading volume across all contracts suggests the market lacks active liquidity to validate or challenge current price levels
• ›The difference between the leader (65%) and runner-up (54%) indicates meaningful uncertainty—no consensus on whether the match will be low-scoring or goal-heavy
• ›K League 2 matches typically average 2.5–3.2 goals per game; final probability should anchor to historical scoring norms for these specific clubs

What moved the line

• May 7Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓9pp16→7¢ · Polymarket
• May 8Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)↓4pp10→6¢ · Polymarket
• May 7O/U 4.5↓3pp14→11¢ · Polymarket
• May 7Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)↓3pp20→17¢ · Polymarket
• May 7Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)↓3pp13→10¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds